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Unofficial indicator of market bottom

Peter Lynch once described our human’s psychology about stock market during different cycles, in his book One Up on Wall Street. I remember he used a party as an example, and he looked at the number of people approached him (people know he is a fund manager), and the amount of conversations about stocks, as an unofficial indicator about the market. So, for instance, in a red hot market, almost everyone came up to him and recommended his/her stock pick; while in a bear market, people will talked about “how is the weather”, and pretty much regard him as a dentist.

According to my observation, we are somewhere in between at this time. I mean, people think the stocks are risky, if not toxic :-)

I would really be interested in learn how this plays out in the gatherings of Chinese New Year back home.

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    "古人云,人不自信谁人信之." Others won't believe in you unless you believe yourself. --Chinese proverb

    Hello, world :-) I am not another stock expert. I am an ordinary guy who believes: by lifetime learning, indepenent analysis and disciplined investing, little guys can achieve great return.

    I grew up in China and currently working on CFA level I this June. Here I'm blogging about business, finance, stocks, other fun stuffs in the US and China. Comments and Email are welcome.

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