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Thinking GOLD now

With the Lehman Brothers discussion underway in its 3rd day, and Asian market is anxious waiting for positive outcome. I am thinking otherwise. Regardless Lehman gets sold (as a piece or in several pieces), continue its business with bankrupcy in mind, this Lehman thing is just a tip of iceberger we are going to see. What? You may ask we already see Bear Stearns, Fannie and Freddie bailout, and that’s only the tip of iceberger? The problem is not only AIG, WaMu: the next two in the line; the problem is now I am afraid the dollar and the world financial market will collapse.

As we have seen from the difficulty of Lehman discussion, the key is US goverment is not going to provide any kind of finance support, as they did in the Bear, Fannie, Freddie deal (total $229 billion). For the goverment, they don’t want to do this due to two reasons: 1) Moral hazard; 2) The increasing debt on the US goverment and tax payers, and the the pressure on USD comes with it.

If the worst happens, nothing will be spared, except the gold (Wiki: ways investing in gold). Because before the 1970s un-pegging of dollar and gold happened, gold was the central banks reserve/deposit to print paper money. And if we could go back history a bit more, we know gold is the most widely used precious metal for money.

So, I am seriously thinking about the Gold ETF (GLD). Another way, if you are like my friend Sun, you can buy the gold bar from bullion direct.

Bullion direct gold bar

I am trusting the good old gold much more than the Lehmans, the wall street, the US goverment (treasury department, the federal reserve), will you :-)

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  1. Sun | Sep 14, 2008 | Reply

    Too bad I am losing money on the gold bar now, but I am not worried because I am not using a piece of gold bar as investments anyway. But seriously, gold at this level is quite attractive.

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    "古人云,人不自信谁人信之." Others won't believe in you unless you believe yourself. --Chinese proverb

    Hello, world :-) I am not another stock expert. I am an ordinary guy who believes: by lifetime learning, indepenent analysis and disciplined investing, little guys can achieve great return.

    I grew up in China. Currently I am working toward CFA level II. Here I'm blogging about business, finance, stocks, other fun stuffs in the US and China. Comments and Email are welcome.

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