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video

The man who knew (CBS 60 minutes)

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Last Updated on April 30, 2020 by stlplace

(Update 04-30-2020) The below CBS 60 minutes link are no longer valid. But I found a CNBC video from Harry on GE (another ponzi scheme, I agree).

(Original 03-12-2009, note the market low on 03-05-2009) Harry Markopolos blew the whistle on Madoff long time ago. But sadly SEC did not listen. Here is the CBS 60 minutes video.

Harry did a mathematical simultation to prove Madoff is a crook. For ordinary investors, I think of the signs I mentioned earlier (too good to be true; 10% annual compound return is very hard to achieve etc.)

Watch CBS Videos Online

Categories
Stocks

This emperor has no clothes

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Last Updated on March 12, 2009 by stlplace

Cramer Stewart saga goes on.

Madoff will go to jail, for life. He deserves it. Just thinking how many people (esp. the older people) lives turned upside down because of his ponzi scheme.

How many clothes-less emperors still out there?

Lesson for ordinary investors
Refer to John Bogle, 6 lessons for investors. Get self educated: get a little finance and psychology lessons, so that one knows more than Dow (S&P should be the real benchmark), compound annual return of 10% is not bad at all, fear and greed etc.

I also think there are 3 types of financial advisors in money management business.

1) Crooks like Madoff and Allen Stanely: this is minority.

2) Most people fell into this category, mediocre. I remember one of my colleagues told me last Sept. his broker told him buy GE at around $22, because he thinks that’s a bargain price for a blue chip like GE. Oh well, we all know how it worked. Most brokers are people who passed series 7 or 63 tests, but have not much idea of accounting and finance. They learned about stocks mostly from CNBC or something like that. How can an average investor beat the market by listening to those guys (or ladies)?

3) The heros. Buffett was one (he had a partnership before the Berkshire Hathaway, in a broad terms, his Berkshire is still in money management business). Peter Lynch. Bill Miller (before 2007).

Categories
CFA

Mark to market hearing

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Last Updated on March 12, 2009 by stlplace

A bunch of politicians (accounting newbies) questioning accountants
C-span video here.

All right, more finger pointing. Now people (oh, I mean Wall Street and their friends at Washington) are blaming mark to market (wiki), for the financial crisis.

This is almost same as blaming starbucks for one’s coffee addiction problem. Coffee, if consumed modestly, is good. But if one drinks more than 6 cups a day, he/she basically will get caffeinated.

Similar thing can be said to M2M, M2M is not the cause of this downward spiral, the overly leverage IS.

When politicians started play with accounting rules, I think rational investors will become really nervous.