Categories
Life Tips Travel

Bought air ticket to PVG China

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Last Updated on August 27, 2008 by stlplace

Friday evening I was checking out the air fare for the planned China trip later this year. And I found aa.com price irresistible: $1000 from STL to PVG. So I jumped on it. With sky high gas price (and jet fuel), this price seems cheap to me. I remember last year I paid close to $1100 for similar air ticket.

So why is the price relatively cheaper? I think one reason is AA needs cash (unearned revenue in this case) badly. Another less likely reason is AA thinks oil price will go down. Separately, I read from news the airline executives wrote an open letter to ask congress to clamp down on the oil speculators, because according to the airlines “oil speculators drove up the oil price”. I see two problems in this argument: 1) Airlines also hedge their jet fuel positions, i.e., they are speculators too; 2) Speculators can cause short term price volatility, but in longer term, it’s the supply and demand determine the price. It seems the airlines executives forgot the Econ 101 here 🙂

Odds and Ends
Here in St. Louis, some churchs are organizing prayers for “lower oil price”. Reminds me in ancient China the farmers praying for “good weather/havest season”. In modern days I have seen people praying for “stock prices going up”.

Categories
gadgets

The iPhone effect: III

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Last Updated on July 12, 2008 by stlplace

(Update) I actually went to the Apple store in West County mall this afternoon, and played with the new iPhone 3G. The first thing noticed is the sign “iPhone 3G is sold out” blah blah blah. I saw a couple in 50s (T-mobile customers) looking for iPhone, and had to leave empty handed. The sales associate acknowledged only a few early birds got the phone. I tried the browser, the touch keypad and youtube. It seems to me the web surfing speed is so so, but again I don’t have benchmark. For some reason I think this thing more like iToy 🙂

(Original) iPhone is here. Yesterday when I drove to work after 9AM, I saw many fans lined up at AT&T store (Creve Coeur, MO).

IMG_6491

There are also wide reports on the glitches in new iPhone 3G launch, such as this one from CNET. This is something I was not surprised, just like the “can not activate using iTune server” I heard last year. I can certainly appreciate the complexity of such an event, but I was not confident on AT&T and Apple’s scaling capabilty here, which is key if Apple wants success in enterprise market. Just like the BlackBerry service outage, those kinds of things are not only annoying for end users but could also lead CIOs to give up on them.

Plus side

Categories
Beijing Olympics Saint Louis

Olympics is coming

Reading Time: < 1 minute

Last Updated on July 11, 2008 by stlplace

Amid all the craziness on oil, stock market and iPhone, yesterday I realized the Beijing Olympics is coming in 4 weeks, and it seems I can not go there for the event. Fortunately I got a piece of Olympics since 2004. In the picture below, at the left is a Coca Cola limited edition can made for torch relay in St. Louis (June 17 2004), at the right is a can features Beijing Olympics logo. Note Coca Cola is Olympics global sponsor (the highest level).

IMG_6488

Maybe those politicians who said boycotting the opening ceremony can honor their words, and let me use their seats 🙂

Categories
China Economy

Ted Koppel and Discovery China series

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Last Updated on July 10, 2008 by stlplace

Ted Koppel is on the top of the journalists I admire. He always asks tough questions in a polite manner, and he has very good insights on international matters. That’s why I was sad to see he leaving ABC NightLine a while ago; and yesterday I was glad to learn his latest project Koppel on Discovery, People’s Republic of Capitalism (PRC), will be shown from July 9 to 12, on Discover Channel each night 10 PM (ET). Here is an excerpt of the show.
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We’ll trace the interconnected web of U.S./China trade, from Mexican migrant workers in North Carolina to a Chongqing teenager working on a boombox assembly line; quality control inspectors at Ethan Allen to a Chinese homemaker shopping at Wal-Mart in Chongqing; and laid-off workers from Briggs & Stratton’s Rolla, Missouri plant to the American who runs the Briggs & Stratton plant in Chongqing.
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Hm, Rolla is where my Alma Mater University of Missouri – Rolla (now Missouri S&T) is. Ethan Allen is one of the very first US stocks I bought (in 2002 🙂

Categories
gadgets

Don’t count RIM out

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Last Updated on July 12, 2008 by stlplace

With the iPhone coming, and initial positive review from personal technology Guru such as Walter Mossberg. It’s not easy time for RIM investors and Blackberry users. For one, your friend who gets new iPhone in a few days will laugh your Blackberry is so old tech, with his/her iPhone features touch screen, two fingers zooming in/out a picture, iPod for music and video, all of which a Blackberry can not do. 3G? The Blackberry Bold is coming but at least a month after iPhone launch. Ouch.

Crackberry
But not that fast. While RIM has all the disadvantages compared to iPhone, strangely the blackberries are still selling like crazy, and its subscribers base is also growing: it just added 2.3 million in the quarter ended May 31 (fiscal 1Q 09 call). One thing RIM and Apple users in common is they have kind of cult culture. Check out this crackberry.com and you will get an idea. Seriously I think compared to Apple/iPhone, RIM/Blackberry has the following advantages:

Categories
Master Series

John Templeton

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Last Updated on July 8, 2008 by stlplace

You Tube video: John Templeton interviewed at Wall Street Week at PBS. He was talking about the market in 1989: Germany; Japan stock market hit the top and started going down; Hongkong; US, etc.

John passed away today, at age of 95.

Categories
gadgets

iPhone effect: II

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Last Updated on July 8, 2008 by stlplace

This Friday will be another big day for the Apple fans, the 3G iPhone will be unveiled globally. The past weekend I stopped by the local Apple store, I have not been to there for 6 months so my impression maybe more genuine. Besides the iPod touch (iPhone was absent), I found some of the sales associates are incredibly young, they look like high school kids. This reminds me many high school kids carrying MacBooks at the county library. So in a word, Apple was doing peer to peer marketing here?

What’s the use for iPhone?
I saw this question posted in Trader1688. Don’t laugh, this is a legimate question. My initial thought is the usual stuff such as MP3/video playback, web browsing, GPS,…as desribed in its offical web page.

Categories
China earning Economy

GDP and stock options

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Last Updated on July 7, 2008 by stlplace

GRE analogy problem
China GDP number: politicians vs.
Corporate earning: executives stock options

Hint: the local officials pump up the GDP numbers so that they can get promoted; the corporate CEO/CFO pump up the earning number so that their stock options will be more valuable.

Of course in an ideal world, when the law is enforced, those kind of things will not happen.

Categories
Master Series

Weather channel, Wimbledon

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Last Updated on July 6, 2008 by stlplace

NBC will pay $3.5 billion for weather channel, weather.com and its related properties. News here. Hm, I think besides the travellers, people interested in the weather include commodity traders. The commodities range from crude oil, natural gas, heating oil, to crops. The reason goes like this, if natural disaster like Hurricane Katrina happens, it will destroy the oil and natural gas infrustures, and cause short term disruption of oil supply. The oil and gas price will jump. Similarly, if a draught or an extreme cold weather happens, crops and heating oil will be more valuable (again, disruption of supply). I think GE/NBC made a smart move buying the weather channel here.

Wimbledon
What a game. Weather played a factor too: the rain and the wind. Maybe it helped Nadal in some way? I was hoping Roger to win but I think he should have no regret (tried his best). One fun fact is the local NBC channel switched to baseball game (Cards vs. Cub), and we watched the game via UUSee web TV (Beijing TV 6). I also like two players comments after the game:

21:24 – A surprisingly stoic Roger Federer not letting any emotion out: “I tried everything, it went a little late and everything, but look Rafa is a deserving champion, he just played incredible todayÂ…. He’s the worst opponent on the best court, but it’s been a joy again to play here, I know I couldn’t win it under the circumstances, but I’ll be back next year.”

Categories
Stocks

Cal-Maine: egg company Buffett may like?

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Last Updated on June 13, 2009 by stlplace

Amid the terrible market and paper loss in my brokerage account, I was doing some soul search: general market condition aside, what went wrong in my investments; new ideas?

I came across this Cal-Maine foods from the latest Barrons, Egg Fight: The Yolk’s on the Shorts. We all know the egg price went up quite a bit recently, so as the stock of Cal-Maine (Nasdaq: CALM). From July 6 2007 to July 3 2008, the stock was up 75%.

eggs back light pic

So I went to Cal-Maine Investor Relationship web site and started reading. Some interesting facts from reading its fiscal 2007 annual report, and its investor presentation.