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A daunting task for QDII & China Invest Co.

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No. I’m not kidding. Big money (billions of dollars) usually is a good thing, but not easy if one wants to beat market return in a certain time. You can ask Charlie Munger (Berkshire’s vice chairman) and he will tell you Berkshire is going to make a (market+2%) annual return from now on, according to the Q&A of his latest annual conference. For reference, Berkshire (BRK.A) has beat S&P 500 by 10% compound-anually for last 40 years.

Now Mr. Lou Jiwei, head of China Invest Co., will manage a $200 b fund. He can buy half of Exxon Mobile or GE using that money. Or, if Warren agrees, Lou can buy the whole Berkshire.

QDIIs, China AMC, China South, and Havest will each have $3 to $4 billions. Today I heard Shanghai Intl Fund Management Co. 上投摩根 attracted CNY 100 b ($13.5 b) subscription for its QDII focus on Asia pacific. They are both having the problem of “starting big”. A problem nice to have, nonetheless it IS a problem. One thing for sure is QDII can not expect to get the return of their sister funds investing in domestic A share, many of which already got +100% year to date (YTD).

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Crocs, Mindray and QDII

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The Crocs (CROX) stock is on a roll lately, as it’s closing 3rd quarter and holding two investor conference (link to webcast) in NYC and London. I added some more CROX last week when the escalator accidents is on the news. Another reason is I sold WX. I think both CROX and WX are good long term but I want to bet on “more sure” things.

Mindray (MR) has also done well lately. Incidently it’s also holding a conference in the US. At this time the fastest growth will from the US market. Chinese domestic market will also have some growth but the goverment still yet to roll out reforms in the health care (hospital) industry. Notheless I think (for the good or bad) Chinese patients still got to see doctors, so I’m not worried about MR’s prospect in China.

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Chinese Citizen Can Buy Oversea ADRs

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(Update) Here is a Chinese article explains more details. The minimum balance is RMB 300,000 to open an account inside China. Other restrictions apply.

(Original) I was wondering why the Chinese ADRs all rose today. Although I heard the China central bank is allowing domestic bank buy oversea stocks through QDII. This MarketWatch article connected the dots for me. I think this is a small way the goverment tries to divert some money from the red hot domestic stock market, especially the B shares market.

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