Category: China

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China

A Consuming Nation in the Making

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I watched an interview on China-CBN last night, the guest is a guy from McKinsey, and he is familar with the consumer trend in China. Some interesting points I took down here:

1) China is the No 4. in the world in terms of GDP; I believe China is No. 1 or 2 receipent of foreign investments. But China is about the size of Italy (No. 8 economy in the world?) in terms of consumer spending.

2) The consuming is speeding up as goverment realized this is good for the economy, as the health care and social insurance system undergoing reform, as the young generation and emering middle class realize “life is more than work and saving”, etc. He mentioned 2015 maybe a turning point.

3) Many foreign companies tend to under-estimate or over-estimate the market potential of China from time to time.

China_Trip_Part_1 057 

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China Stocks

The Chinese Bubble

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The bubble is continuing to build up. This afternoon I received a call from people try to selling me stocks “We are an investment company. Have you heard about the stocks lately?” Anyone who has not heard stocks must live in the vaccum or Tibet. Stocks are talked in every gathering. I heard people become restless during the 7 days break because the market was closed. The No. 1 the question is: when will the market correct?

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Business China

Consumer Series III: non-alcoholic drinks

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I am aware Chinese are drinking more milks, juice and soda these days. Some notable names include: MengNiu (2319.HK), Yi Li (600887.SS), both are diary makers, MengNiu is NBA sponsor, Yi Li is Beijing 2008 Olympics sponsor, and Huiyuan Juice (1886.HK).

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China

Lan’xi Trip Pictures etc.

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I visited Lan’xi, a small city in western part of Zhejiang Province during the holiday. Lan’xi is famous for “Zhu Ge Cun”, cement plants, Lan Jiang, and a lot agricultural produce. In the old days Lan’xi proudly claimed it as “little Shanghai”, but these days it’s lagging behind neigbouring counties Yi Wu and Pu Jiang on the economy development. It reminds me of Cai Qiao, my maternal grand parents’ hometown, and it was “little Ningbo” when I was little.

Anyway, I saw both the urban and rural sides of the Lan’xi, here are some pictures:

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China Travel

Consumer Series II: Budget Hotels

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I was on the train from Shanghai to Lan’xi today. The train station was crowded, reminding me of my college days: at one time I was so afraid of stuck in the train during winter break, I told my mom I would stay in the campus.

I saw lots of leisure travellers on the train, some are “stand room only”. Hangzhou and Jinghua are two popular places for leisure travellers. I talked to a family from Tianjin: they took the train to Jinghua. They regret not taking the plane now because the train is so crowded. The difference between air ticket and train ticket is about 1000 Yuan. I heard the airlines lowered some tickets this time due to the launch of the “bullet train” on April 18.

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China

Consumer Series I: Gui Zhou Mao Tai

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(Update Apr 30) I went to Carrefour to buy Maotai, it’s out. I noticed Maotai has some low end products now (Maotai Chun instead of Guizhou Maotai). The Shanghai No. 1 Food Store across the street does carry Mao Tai, but it charges for 525 Yuan (Carrefour price was 438). According to Carrefour associates, the Maotai was out for couple months now. This is not surprising because I heard some distributors will pay several months in advance to get the Maotai. Hot stuff, isn’t it?

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China Stocks

Ticker Symbol of Chinese Banks

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Symbol  Name     Price (Apr 26)   Earning (2006)

600000 浦发银行 28.28              0.77

600015 华夏银行 13.29            0.35

600016 MingShen 13.27        0.38

600036 CMB      20.04           0.48

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China Stocks

China Citic Bank Debuts

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Like Baidu, if you look at 601998 (its ticker symbol) at Sina Finance. For english readers, read Bloomberg news here. BTW, 1998 is a good number in Chinese. Citic Bank (中信银行) IPO was priced at 5.80 Yuan, and people expected it to open between 7 and 8, based on PE and PB (price book) ratio of other Chinese banks. But it went up as high as 12 this morning (Apr 27 Shanghai). This is much higher than the H share traded in HK (0998). Based on 2006 earning of 0.12 Yuan, the PE is about 100.

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Business China

Wedding Related Business

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I read a paper lately and found people in big cities like Shanghai spend a fortune in wedding (about same amount as people in developed countries). Here are some examples: limos and wedding dresses. I took these pictures last month.

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Business China

Consumer New Trend

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(Update Apr 26 morning) Shortly after this report, Wan Jia Wan Hao (Xin Yu Star) stock (600576) gained 5%, the maximum percentage it can go as this is a “ST” stock. What can I say about this crazy market? 

Dong Fang Securities, a Chinese brokerage firm, did a report about the new trend of Chinese consumers. Here is a summary. Some of the highlighted industry: medical, budget hotels, media (advertisement), and jewelry.

You can baidu the report if you are interested. The report listed some public companies (in China) may benifit from this trend.