Categories
Stocks

My Current Holdings

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I have the following stocks in my Scottrade account as of today Jan 3, 2007. I remember the beginning of last year I only have 200 shares of Symantec (SYMC)

Crocs (CROX): 46 shares, it seems people can not get enough of those funky shoes.

Heelys (HLYS): 62 shares, it seems everyone is skeptical of this except me 🙂

Home Inns (HMIN):  68 shares, +100% YoY growth, Chinese version of La Quita Inn (as I read the Peter Lynch book lately)

Mindray (MR): 111 shares, China’s No. 1 medical device maker, about 50% YoY growth, is opening a new facility in Nanjing, looking for expansion in the Yangtze delta region which is the economy center of China nowadays. Good move.

Categories
China Stocks

Is Home Inns HMIN too Expensive?

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Home Inns’ (HMIN) stock traded above $40 for the first time  today Jan 3, 2007. Since its debut on Oct 26, 2006, the stock almost doubled from its first day close price (about $22.50). From traditional valuation point of view, this is a bit insane. As a stock holder I am also nervous about such a fast run. So…why don’t we do a little PE price earning ratio analysis on this one. Let’s assume it closes at $40 today. The company earned $0.12 in the first half of year 2006, 0.10 in 3rd quarter (non GAPP, exclude one time share based compensation), and let’s say it will make $0.12 for the 4th quarter, which is quite reasonable. 40 divided by (0.12+0.10+0.12), and it’s equal to 117. This is high compared to Google, or Apple. But note the company is growing at more than 100% year over year and we can expect that trend to continue for a few years.

Note: as rule of thumb (or finger), the PE ratio should not exceed the growth rate too much. Say, for a PE 15 company, we expect it grow 15% year over year.

home inns rujia shanghai century park

Categories
China

Aluminum ACH Anyone?

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I happened to see ACH, Aluminum China, from grusinvestments. And I went to Yahoo Finance to get more info. But some of the data there are not accurate. For instance, the PE 1.96, and yield 12.90% should really be 8, and 3.2% respectively. I think the problem was caused by the split of their stocks (4:1). Now each ADR represents 25 ordinary shares (2600.HK). Note ACH is going IPO in Shanghai Stock Exchange this year (2007). I briefly read their 2005 annual report and 2006 interim (half year) report. The construction and transportation makes up 30% and 22% of the global market share in 2005. I believe China is a biggest consumer of Aluminum in the world. The Aluminum price rode high in the first half 2006. Since I don’t know about the demand, and the Aluminum price, I will be on the sideline for now.

Categories
Technology

GMail or Yahoo Mail?

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I started to use web based Yahoo Mail from 1998. It’s not perfect (large amount of spams, sometimes it put legimitate mail to bulk folder), but it works. About 2 years ago I got the GMail account and started using it. GMail has some nice features such as it “groups” same subject emails in one mail; and better previews for photos. But recently it was a bit goofy. One thing I noticed is it did not send out mail to the receivers. I confirmed this with my friends. In both cases, it looked OK for the senders but “not OK” for receivers: the receiver will just get the “quoted” original message. Those kind of problems mainly cause some inconvenience, but it could be more serious. Because I signed up electronic bill for my cell phone using GMail, and I have not received the email (and I did not go to t-mobile site lately), I missed the deadline of bill payment. T-Mobile happily charged $5 late fee. OK, I guess I will give back a portion of the $20 I saved from Google Checkout back to T-Mobile 🙂

Seriously, a while ago I thought about moving my email service from Yahoo to GMail. But I decided to stay with Yahoo for now. Besides the problem mentioned above, GMail is not reliable in China. I guess that’s one reason people in China like Hotmail better. I believe Hotmail is faster compared to Yahoo Mail in China too.

Categories
Saint Louis

Feel Lucky Passing Emission Test

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My 2001 Nissan Altima runs fine except one minor problem: its “service engine soon” light will be ON and OFF randomly. Usually it will be ON for 2 weeks, after I fill the gas, it will be OFF for a while. This is OK except here in St. Louis all the cars need to pass the emission test, and from my experience this light will cause problem to pass the test.

So what did I do? This afternoon as soon as I saw the “light” is off (I put in gas in the morning), I drove to the test station. I was nervous initially because the tester made me turned off engine in the station. Lucky when it restarts the light stayed OFF and my car passed the test. I know two years later I may have the same worry, but right now I am a happy camper 🙂

Categories
Fun

New Year Resolutions for 2007

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Personal 

Spend more quality time with family and friends; cut Internet and TV time. 

Drive safely. Walk safely. Drive and walk safely.

Financial

Pay off the Home Equity Line of Credit (currently 8.5% interest rate).

Consolidate checking accounts (from 3 to 2); same for the credit cards usage.

Regular investment in stock markets: looking for fast grower, turn around story, and asset play…

Categories
Saint Louis

First Night St. Louis

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I went to the “First Night St. Louis” with some friends at Grand Center at St Louis University. It features parade, lots of arts and performances, and we had much fun there counting down the clock while watching the fire work display. Here is a picture from scanews, the Chinese Newspaper in St. Louis. 

It is my first walking tour (yes, walk in freezing cold) to that area. I saw Fox Theatre, Schelton Concert Hall, Scottish Rite (cathedral?), St. Louis Xavier college Church and Third Baptist Church, KETC Channel 9. All these are kind eye opening for me because I heard these key art/cultural things a lot but never been there. Now I know where they are 🙂

First night St. Louis fire work 

Categories
Fun

Happy New Year from STLPlace

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Happy New Year to all the readers, whether you are from the US, or China (would be very hard these days), or Europe, or somewhere else,…

I started this blog about a year ago. My original intension is to share things related to my work and life experience in mid-west US, from software to things in St. Louis. This has been changed a bit since I changes focus to stocks, and personal finance lately. While I don’t think money is the most important thing in life, I do believe financial freedom is a dream for myself and many ordinary people. I hope we can all come close to that in the not too distance future.

Categories
401k and Personal Finance

My 401K Lessons

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I did not put money into 401K right after I started to work in Fall 2000. Looking back this is my biggest mistake in 401K. Although I have some credit card debt at that time, I think I should at least put the money to get the company’s maximum match (free money, hehe). Not to mention the tax deferred effect; and the potential compound effect of growth. My friend who studied finance told me a “compound” story like this: if one puts $ 5,000 when he/she is 20, it’s like someone put $50,000 when he/she is 40 (the number may not be exact, but you got the idea).

I started my 401K in year 2002, a little more than a year after working. I was not familar with the mutual funds initially. I walked to one of my colleagues who is a stock lover and he told me “put everything in stock funds” because “we are not going to use the money for a while, and stock gives better return”. But I did not go 100% stocks. I attended the company benifits semimar; I also read the Vanguard Mutual Funds prospectus and learned about the fund types (value, growth, index), and morning star rating system. I put about 70% in stock fund and 30% in bond fund: thought diversification is my best friend. Looking back now I would not put money in bond fund. Because I have plenty of time until the withdrawl from 401K. The ups and downs of stock market in short term does not mean too much to me, and ultimately the stocks will have better return than bonds.

Categories
Fun Stocks

Heelys Report Week Ending 29Dec06

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It seems Heelys had a very good Christmas season. From my store visit to Journeys and Sports Authority, each account for 11.6% and 11% domestic sales in the fist 9 months in year 2006, the sales are doing well. I did notice one week before Xmas, SA offered some discount, and Journeys started discount after Xmas, both of which are normal business practice to clear out some inventories. The eBay sales number is here:

          Heelys Faked
20Dec06 877 68
21Dec06 796 52
  
26Dec06 529 21
27Dec06 602 22
28Dec06 815 27
29Dec06 719 27