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video

The man who knew (CBS 60 minutes)

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(Update 04-30-2020) The below CBS 60 minutes link are no longer valid. But I found a CNBC video from Harry on GE (another ponzi scheme, I agree).

(Original 03-12-2009, note the market low on 03-05-2009) Harry Markopolos blew the whistle on Madoff long time ago. But sadly SEC did not listen. Here is the CBS 60 minutes video.

Harry did a mathematical simultation to prove Madoff is a crook. For ordinary investors, I think of the signs I mentioned earlier (too good to be true; 10% annual compound return is very hard to achieve etc.)

Watch CBS Videos Online

Categories
Stocks

This emperor has no clothes

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Cramer Stewart saga goes on.

Madoff will go to jail, for life. He deserves it. Just thinking how many people (esp. the older people) lives turned upside down because of his ponzi scheme.

How many clothes-less emperors still out there?

Lesson for ordinary investors
Refer to John Bogle, 6 lessons for investors. Get self educated: get a little finance and psychology lessons, so that one knows more than Dow (S&P should be the real benchmark), compound annual return of 10% is not bad at all, fear and greed etc.

I also think there are 3 types of financial advisors in money management business.

1) Crooks like Madoff and Allen Stanely: this is minority.

2) Most people fell into this category, mediocre. I remember one of my colleagues told me last Sept. his broker told him buy GE at around $22, because he thinks that’s a bargain price for a blue chip like GE. Oh well, we all know how it worked. Most brokers are people who passed series 7 or 63 tests, but have not much idea of accounting and finance. They learned about stocks mostly from CNBC or something like that. How can an average investor beat the market by listening to those guys (or ladies)?

3) The heros. Buffett was one (he had a partnership before the Berkshire Hathaway, in a broad terms, his Berkshire is still in money management business). Peter Lynch. Bill Miller (before 2007).

Categories
CFA

Mark to market hearing

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A bunch of politicians (accounting newbies) questioning accountants
C-span video here.

All right, more finger pointing. Now people (oh, I mean Wall Street and their friends at Washington) are blaming mark to market (wiki), for the financial crisis.

This is almost same as blaming starbucks for one’s coffee addiction problem. Coffee, if consumed modestly, is good. But if one drinks more than 6 cups a day, he/she basically will get caffeinated.

Similar thing can be said to M2M, M2M is not the cause of this downward spiral, the overly leverage IS.

When politicians started play with accounting rules, I think rational investors will become really nervous.

Categories
Economy

Greenspan: not my fault

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Alan Greenspan, the former Fed chairman wrote an article The Fed Didn’t Cause the Housing Bubble on WSJ to defend himself. He was saying his low fed rate from 2003 to 2005 is NOT the cause for the housing bubble, and current financial crisis. Interesting stuff. I remember Oct. Anderson Cooper (CNN) did a series of 10 most wanted culprit for (financial) collapse, and Mr. Greenspan was No. 6. The English article on CNN360 is not easy to get, here is Chinese translation.

greenspan pic

Anyway, I don’t want to get into those political stuff. My point is, probably he has his share of mistakes. Of course, he is not alone in all this. It takes a meltdown of the whole system for us to get here, from regulators including the broader goverment (democrats and republican; congress and presidents), from business to consumser, from wall street to main street, from US to China,…each made some convenient choice without thinking the long term.

But the human nature when we hear the blame, we will say: no, not my fault.

Psychology 101: denial is the first response we hear bad news.

Categories
video

Tang Wei Zhen: Chinese Madoff

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(Update 06-13-2020) The links below no longer work. This is one nature of the internet: nothing lasts forever. Here is a new article Tang Wei Zhen.

(Original) Tang Wei Zhen 唐炜臻 (company) claimed to be Chinese Buffett (as shown in the following 11’24” video, link here). But apparently he is Chinese mini-Madoff. Chinese story here (hutong9).

Couple points to spot warning signs:

Categories
video

Tim Geithner on Charlie Rose

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Link here.

Categories
Master Series

Buffett on CNBC

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The Squawk box, here are the videos.

Part 1:

Categories
Fun

T. Rowe. Price TV commerial reminds me somthing I saw

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This is the T. Rowe Price TV commercial I saw today.

Categories
Fun

Don’t tick off Jon Stewart

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(Update 2: March 11) Cramer shot back, Stewart responds.

(Update) Correct the name (from Steward to Stewart).

Categories
Fun

Recent Bank Ads on WSJ

Reading Time: 2 minutes

We know CEOs of some of the nation’s largest banks are buying their companies’ stocks, to show their confidence on their respective company.

It’s also interesting to see some of the leading banks are putting up a lot Ads on Wall Street Journal. I took some pictures here from WSJ in these days and share them here.

IMG_6958
(Citi bank shows a happy couple/home owners who got mortgage from Citi)

IMG_6957
(This JetBlue ads encourage CEOs to ditch their business jet and use the discount carrier)